Core and Overall Consumer Price Index Both Fall 0.1 Percent in May

by Dean Baker

Both the core and overall Consumer Price Index (CPI) dropped 0.1 percent in May. It was the third consecutive month of decline for both indexes. The overall CPI has fallen 1.3 percent over the three months since the pandemic began to have a major economic impact, while the core index has dropped 0.6 percent. The pandemic has had sharply divergent impacts, as would be … [More]

Federal Budget Deficit Doubles from May of Last Year, Increase due to COVID-19

Congressional Budget Office

The federal budget deficit in May was $424 billion, about double the amount in the same month last year, CBO estimates. That increase stems from the economic disruption caused by the 2020 coronavirus pandemic and from the federal government’s response to it, including actions by the Administration and enactment of four pieces of legislation: the Coronavirus Preparedness and … [More]

Uncertainty Index Increases in May, Business Owners are Optimistic

NFIB

The Small Business Optimism Index increased 3.5 points in May to 94.4, a strong improvement from April’s 90.9 reading. Eight of the 10 Index components improved in May and two declined. The NFIB Uncertainty Index increased seven points to 82. Reports of expected business conditions in the next six months increased 5 points to a net 34%, following a 24-point increase in April. … [More]

73% of the Unemployed Report Being on Temporary Layoffs

The Center for Economic and Policy Research

The May jobs numbers were considerably better than most analysts had expected with the economy reportedly adding 2,509,000 jobs, while the unemployment rate fell by 1.4 percentage points to 13.3 percent. This improved labor market picture should not have been surprising since many businesses across the country had reopened by the survey week in mid-April. The high number of … [More]

Market Analysis from a Global Perspective as Gains Are Seen

By Joshua Mahony

The risk associated with the US jobs report is being cast aside as markets move higher once again. Travel stocks lead the way, while oil and gas stocks rise ahead of the OPEC+ meeting. Meanwhile, dollar weakness has helped drive GBPUSD higher despite Brexit fears. Another day of gains looks to be taking shape in Europe, with the value theme seen throughout the week … [More]

U.S. Unemployment Fell to 13.3% in May and the Economy Added 2.5M Jobs

Bureau of Labor Statistics

U.S. unemployment fell to 13.3% in May and the economy added 2.5 million jobs, a surprising upswing after pandemic-related declines. Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 2.5 million in May, and the unemployment rate declined to 13.3 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. These improvements in the labor market reflected a limited resumption of … [More]

1.9M Jobless Claims Last Week As Economy Begins to Reopen

U.S. Department of Labor

In the week ending May 30, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 1,877,000, a decrease of 249,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 3,000 from 2,123,000 to 2,126,000. The 4-week moving average was 2,284,000, a decrease of 324,750 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was … [More]

May Commercial Ch. 11s Increase 48 Percent over Last Year, Total Filings Down 42 Percent

American Bankruptcy Institute

Total commercial chapter 11 filings in May 2020 increased 48 percent from the previous year, according to data provided by Epiq Systems, Inc. Commercial chapter 11 filings totaled 722 in May 2020, elevated from the May 2019 total of 487. Conversely, total commercial filings decreased 28 percent in May 2020, as the 2,578 filings were down from the 3,558 commercial filings … [More]

Institute Research Shows Impact of COVID-19 on Local Commerce, Spending Declines

JPMorgan Chase Institute

The JPMorgan Chase Institute released new research that examines the COVID-19 pandemic’s localized impact through the lens of consumers and merchants across 16 U.S. cities:  Phoenix, Atlanta, Chicago, Columbus, Dallas, Denver, Detroit, Houston, Los Angeles, Miami, New Orleans, New York, Portland, San Diego, San Francisco, and Seattle. This new research is the third in a series … [More]

Coronavirus Teaches the Value of Domestic Manufacturing

by Jim White, Ph.D.

  The coronavirus is novel indeed, in that we are learning daily about how it operates: its effect on our bodies, how it is distributed, who it targets and, potentially, how it is prevented. But the virus also is novel in that it pinpoints what is working in our country and what is not — in terms of healthcare, of course, but also in terms of our economy. Specifically, … [More]

More than 40 Million Unemployment Claims in 10 Weeks

U.S. Department of Labor

In the week ending May 23, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 2,123,000, a decrease of 323,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 8,000 from 2,438,000 to 2,446,000. The 4-week moving average was 2,608,000, a decrease of 436,000 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was … [More]

New Small Business Report: Severe Economic Impact on Nation’s Small Business Community

National Association for the Self-Employed

With the novel coronavirus impacting small business community, the National Association for the Self-Employed (NASE) today highlighted the survey results of the State of Small Business Report conducted by the Small Business Roundtable and Facebook, which indicates that small and medium-sized businesses in the United States are being hit hard by the COVID-19 crisis. NASE has … [More]

2.4M Jobless Claims Last Week, Making 9-Week Total more than 38M

U.S. Department of Labor

In the week ending May 16, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 2,438,000, a decrease of 249,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 294,000 from 2,981,000 to 2,687,000. The 4-week moving average was 3,042,000, a decrease of 501,000 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average … [More]

Updated Economic Projections See Resumption Downturn

Congressional Budget Office

The Congressional Budget Office has updated its economic projections through 2021 to account for the 2020 coronavirus pandemic. CBO’s latest estimates, which are based on information about the economy that was available through May 12, update the preliminary projections that the agency made in April. In developing those projections, CBO reviewed many private-sector forecasts. … [More]

Business Solutions Surfacing from the COVID-19 Pandemic

by Jeff Friesen

As COVID-19 continues its worldwide spread, there is no crystal ball to predict how or when this will end. While public health and safety remains front and center, and rightfully so, the disruption the virus has waged on businesses is hard to ignore. While industries such as sanitation services and technology providers are faced with overwhelming demand and potential … [More]

COVID-19 Buying Behavior

by Commerce Signals

The bottom fell out, of course, on many U.S. consumer spending categories during the month of March. But others, like grocery, drug and discount retailers, actually climbed significantly last month as consumers cooked at home and stocked up their pantries and medicine cabinets for an extended stretch of sheltering in place. Meanwhile, consumers were doing much more of their … [More]

Pandemic Ends Longest Economic Recovery

by Dean Baker

The Gross Domestic Product shrank at a 4.8-percent annual rate in the first quarter, as the shutdowns in the second half of March more than offset the modest growth earlier in the quarter. This was the sharpest fall since the 8.4-percent decline reported for the fourth quarter of 2008, following the collapse of Lehman. The biggest factors in the decline were a 10.2-percent … [More]

2020’s Best Business Credit Cards & Bank Accounts

by Mike Hunter

WalletHub’s Coronavirus Small Business Survey — which gauged business owners’ attitudes on government assistance, plans to reopen the economy and more — found that 87 percent of small business owners are struggling due to the coronavirus. Addressing this, the personal-finance website today announces its editors’ selections for the best business credit cards and best business … [More]

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