PREVIEW: What to Look for in the First Quarter 2022 GDP Report

by Dean Baker

The main story in the first quarter is likely to be a sharp slowing in GDP growth from the extraordinary 6.9 percent pace of the fourth quarter of 2021. The biggest factor in this slowing will be a slower pace of inventory accumulation. Inventory growth added 5.3 percentage points to GDP growth in the fourth quarter. Inventories are expected to continue growing in the first … [More]

Surging Inflation Remains a Major Problem for Small Businesses, Says New Survey

NFIB

The NFIB Research Center released a new survey today assessing the impact inflation is having on small businesses. Small business owners first signaled inflation issues in the summer of 2021 when NFIB’s Small Business Economic Trends survey found increasing numbers of small business owners reporting “inflation” as their single most important problem. In March 2022, “inflation” … [More]

Homebuyer Competition Drops for First Time in Six Months amid Surge in Mortgage Rates, Home Prices

Redfin

Sixty-five percent of home offers written by Redfin agents faced competition on a seasonally adjusted basis in March, according to a new report from Redfin, the technology-powered real estate brokerage. That is down from a revised rate of 66.7% in February, marking the first month-over-month decline since September—a sign that demand is starting to cool as soaring mortgage … [More]

Arizona’s Affordable Housing Supply Is Insufficient to Recover from the COVID-19 Pandemic

inbusinessPHX.com

The Gap: A Shortage of Affordable Homes, a new report released today by the National Low Income Housing Coalition and the Arizona Housing Coalition, finds a national shortage of seven million affordable and available rental homes for extremely low-income (ELI) renter households, those with incomes at or below the poverty level or 30% of their area median income. There are just … [More]

The Cost of a Mortgage Is Up 20% since December

Zillow

Home shoppers are facing a one-two punch this spring: Quickly rising mortgage rates are compounding affordability challenges that have been brought on by record home value growth. The cost of a 30-year mortgage on the typical U.S. home is now 19.5% higher than it was just three months ago, according to the March Zillow® Real Estate Market Report.i Despite this, the pace and … [More]

Hotels Projected to End 2022 Down $20B in Business Travel Revenue, Says Report

inbusinessPHX.com

According to a new report released today by the American Hotel & Lodging Association and Kalibri Labs, U.S. hotel business travel revenue is projected to be 23% below pre-pandemic levels in 2022, ending the year down more than $20 billion compared to 2019. This comes after hotels lost an estimated $108 billion in business travel revenue during 2020 and 2021 … [More]

Phoenix Unemployment Rate Falls below 3% with Strong Hiring in March

inbusinessPHX.com

The unadjusted unemployment rate in Greater Phoenix dropped to 2.4 percent, down nearly three-quarters of a point from February’s 3.1 percent and half of last year’s 5.4 percent unemployment rate in March. Robust hiring brought the Phoenix metro workforce to nearly 2.5 million people in March, up 110,800 from March last year. For the second month in a row, hospitality (up … [More]

Strong Spring Home Sales Set Records for Highest Median Price, Lowest Supply

inbusinessPHX.com

The busy spring season got off to another strong start this year. March home sales jumped 32.2% over February while posting a report record Median Sales Price of $360,000. As buyers continued to far outnumber sellers, Months Supply of Inventory reached a record low of 1.0 across the report's 51 metro areas. More than half of the market areas reported a supply of less than one … [More]

Home Sales Fell 4% in March as Buying Costs Shot Up

Redfin

It was the hottest March ever for the housing market, with homes selling at their fastest pace and for more above list price than any other March on record, according to a new report from Redfin, the technology-powered real estate brokerage. The median home-sale price rose 6.2% in March, the fastest month-over-month gain at this time of year since 2013, to an all-time high of … [More]

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Rise after Hitting the Lowest Level since 1968

U.S. Department of Labor

In the week ending April 9, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 185,000, an increase of 18,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 166,000 to 167,000. The 4-week moving average was 172,250, an increase of 2,000 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised up … [More]

EN NEGOCIOS: Inflación: 7 consejos para ayudar a las pequeñas empresas a superar la inflación

por Edgar R. Olivo

Ser propietario de una pequeña empresa durante los últimos dos años ha venido con una serie de desafíos, y ahora con una inflación creciente. De acuerdo con la Oficina de estadísticas laborales, la inflación de EE. UU. subió a un nuevo máximo de cuatro décadas del 8,5 % en marzo con respecto al mismo mes del año anterior, impulsada por el aumento de los costos de la energía y … [More]

Inflation: 7 Tips to Help Small Businesses Ride Inflation

by Edgar R. Olivo

Being a small business owner during the last two years has come with its set of challenges, and now rising inflation. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. inflation surged to a new four-decade high of 8.5% in March from the same month a year ago, driven by skyrocketing energy and food costs, supply constraints and strong consumer demand. These new challenges … [More]

Inflation Overtakes Labor Quality as Top Business Problem For Small Businesses

NFIB

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index decreased in March by 2.4 points to 93.2, the third consecutive month below the 48-year average of 98. Thirty-one percent of owners reported that inflation was the single most important problem in their business, up five points from February and the highest reading since the first quarter of 1981. Inflation has now replaced “labor quality” … [More]

Record Share of Homebuyers Are Relocating, Skyrocketing Housing Costs Make Affordable Areas Attractive

inbusinessPHX.com

A record 32.3% of Redfin.com users nationwide looked to move to a different metro area in the first quarter, according to a new report from Redfin, the technology-powered real estate brokerage. That’s up from 31.5% a year earlier and up significantly from 26% in 2019, before the pandemic. Skyrocketing home prices and rising mortgage rates have made relocating to a … [More]

First Quarter Bankruptcy Filings Dip Dramatically

inbusinessPHX.com

Arizona recorded a dramatic drop in middle market business bankruptcy and receivership filings during the first quarter of 2022, according to data in the Resolute Index, a bankruptcy report published today by Resolute Commercial Services. The Grand Canyon State recorded only two middle market bankruptcies and one middle market receivership, a 67% decrease in middle market … [More]

Inflation Worsens in March, Gas and Rent Costs Rise

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 1.2 percent in March on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.8 percent in February, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 8.5 percent before seasonal adjustment. Increases in the indexes for gasoline, shelter, and food were the … [More]

The Pandemic, Ukraine, And Inflation: How We Got to the New Normal Economy 

by Tom Siomades, CFA

Will we ever get back to normal? Or, are we stuck in the new normal for an extended period? Economically speaking in the U.S., the answer to the first question is “hopefully,” and to the second question, “probably.”  In the wake of the two-year COVID-19 pandemic’s massive effect on the global economy, Russia’s recent invasion of Ukraine has added another seismic shock to … [More]

77% of Homeowners and Renters Support Adding More Housing Options, Says Survey

Zillow

There is broad support to allow backyard cottages, duplexes and triplexes in residential neighborhoods, according to a new Zillow survey covering 26 U.S. metropolitan areas struggling with housing affordability. The new research found that 77% of all homeowners and renters surveyed voiced support for construction of either new accessory dwelling units (ADUs), duplexes, or … [More]

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