U.S. Home Prices Tick Up 0.2% for the Second Month in a Row, Phoenix Shows Decline

inbusinessPHX.com

U.S. home prices ticked up 0.2% for the second-consecutive month in July, on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to a new report from Redfin, the technology-powered real estate brokerage. That’s equal to the smallest month over month increase since January 2023. Phoenix showed a month-over-month decline at -0.18 percent.

On a year-over-year basis, home prices rose 6.8% in July, down from 7.3% in June and the lowest annual increase recorded since January.

This is according to the Redfin Home Price Index (RHPI), which uses the repeat-sales pricing method to calculate seasonally adjusted changes in prices of single-family homes. The RHPI measures sale prices of homes that sold during a given period, and how those prices have changed since the last time those same homes sold. It’s similar to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices but is published more than one month earlier. July data covers the three months ending July 31, 2024.

Home prices continue to inch up to all-time highs—albeit more slowly than in previous months—because there is still a shortage of homes on the market relative to buyer demand. Mortgage rates have fallen considerably in recent weeks, but that has not yet translated into a significant increase in buyers, which in turn has prevented prices from rising more quickly.

“There aren’t enough sellers listing their homes to cause prices to fall and there aren’t enough buyers to create competition to drive prices up significantly,” said Redfin Senior Economist Sheharyar Bokhari. “Relatively low sales and gradual price increases will remain the status quo each month until one of those things changes.”

Metro-Level Summary: Redfin Home Price Index, July 2024

Twenty (40%) of the 50 most populous U.S. metro areas recorded a seasonally adjusted drop in home prices in July, month over month. That number is up from only four metros recording a month-over-month decline in February.

The biggest decline in July was in Austin, TX (-1.6%), followed by San Francisco (-1.1%) and Nassau County, NY (-0.7%). The highest month over month gains were recorded in Indianapolis (1.2%), Miami (1.2%) and San Antonio, TX (1.1%). Phoenix showed a month-over-month decline as well (-0.18%).

View the full report, including charts and additional metro-level data, here.

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